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Weekly Africa Political Risk Report: Overview of the past week’s political developments
Cameroon: Kamto claims victory, low turnout in Anglophone regions (Oct 9). Nigeria: The PDP choose Abubakar as presidential candidate (Oct 9). South Africa: Mboweni appointment shows much-...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning Market Update
Manufacturing meanders along in August Government task team looking at ways to curb petrol price increases US consumer prices register soft gains ZAR firmer against the greenback
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Botswana – The country sold 14-day instruments on Tuesday, with the weighted average rate remaining flat at 1.5%. Despite some upward inflationary pressures related to higher food and international oi...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
East Africa: Price pressures to increase in Q4. Egypt: Inflation increases more than expected in September. South Africa: Manufacturing production. Zambia: Fitch downgrades sovereign c...
Weekly Africa Insight: Overview of the past week’s political and macroeconomic developments
Cameroon: Kamto claims victory, low turnout in Anglophone regions (Oct 9). East Africa: Price pressures to increase in Q4 (Oct 11). Egypt: Inflation increases more than expected in Septemb...
Talking Point: South Africa - Manufacturing output meanders along in August
Manufacturing production volumes increased by 1.3% y-o-y in August, following a revised increase of 2.8% y-o-y (previously 2.9% y-o-y) in the previous month, according to StatsSA’s latest monthly man...
Talking Point: Zambia - Fitch downgrades sovereign credit rating
Fitch Ratings announced on October 11 that it has downgraded Zambia’s sovereign credit rating from B to B- while maintaining the outlook at negative. At the end of July, the ratings agency affirmed Za...
Zambia Quarterly Update: Growth prospects weaken considerably as aid suspensions are followed by an unconvincing budget speec
The past quarter has seen a notable deterioration in Zambia’s growth prospects. The announcement of budgetary aid suspension in the context of the ongoing stalemate regarding IMF support resulted in a...
Ethiopia: Talking Point: East Africa - Price pressures to increase in Q4
Price pressures are expected to build in coming months in most major East African economies. The general disinflationary trend observed since 2017 Q2 has been supported by favourable food price inflat...
Talking Point: Egypt - Inflation increases more than expected in September
Consumer price inflation accelerated more than expected in September as the negative effects of energy subsidy reforms filter to other costs such as food and transport. According to the latest data fr...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning Market Update
Sacci business confidence index increases Irregular spending at SOEs balloons to R27bn Core US producer prices rising at fastest rate in years ZAR surrenders most of Tuesday’s gains
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The #JobSummit in #SouthAfrica represents a credibility test for President Cyril Ramaphosa and his ability to lead the country out of its current political and economic mire. Will its proposals, like those of former summits, come to naught?
#Zimbabwe’s budget deficit skyrocketed during the first half of the year due to considerable unbudgeted spending.
#SouthAfrica Sarb gross gold and forex reserves increase somewhat in September; remaining at an adequate level.
#Uganda’s monetary policy tightens as inflationary pressure builds – policy rate increased by 100bps to 10% in October MPC meeting.
Talk of a referendum in #Kenya is growing louder, with Raila Odinga stating one may take place next year. Should it go ahead, political risk would likely rise and attention would be drawn away from governance and policymaking.
#Gabon’s legislative election starts on Saturday. Expect the PDG to retain its majority but for the opposition to get more seats and ministerial portfolios. This will boost Bongo’s political capital to push through reforms, which civil servants will keep opposing.
#Kenya economic growth (6.3% in Q2) and inflation (5.7% in September) surprise to the upside. Both these developments suggest we have reached the end of the monetary policy loosening cycle.
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