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Talking Point: Tunisia – Fiscal deficit set to reach 14% of GDP in 2020
Tunisia continues to count the cost of the coronavirus outbreak with the budget deficit set to increase to 14% of GDP in 2020, according to unnamed government officials quoted by Reuters. The collapse...
Talking Point: Mozambique – Interest rates on hold amid worsening risks
The Monetary Policy Committee (CPMO) of the Bank of Mozambique (BdM) has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate – known as the monetary policy interest rate (Mimo) – at 10.25%. The CPMO says...
Talking Point: Libya – More advances in UN-led dialogue
Acting UN envoy to Libya, Stephanie Williams, said on Wednesday, October 21, that she was “quite optimistic … about the possibility of a lasting ceasefire”. The reason for her optimism was that delega...
Talking Point: Tanzania – Will Magufuli bulldoze his way through the elections?
General elections will be held in Tanzania on Wednesday, October 28. In the build-up to the vote, President John Magufuli’s administration has been intensifying its crackdown on the opposition as he s...
Talking Point: Namibia – Interest rates stay put, waiting for Sarb to pull trigger
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of Namibia (BoN) maintained its policy rate at 3.75% following its recent policy meeting.
Talking Point: Zambia – S&P slashes credit rating to SD ahead of restructuring
S&P Global Ratings downgraded Zambia’s credit rating to SD (‘selective default’, one notch above D, or default) in recognition of authorities’ statement “that government will not make debt service pay...
Talking Point: Kenya – Kenyatta receives final Building Bridges Initiative report
President Uhuru Kenyatta and the main opposition leader, Raila Odinga, were presented with the “Report of the Steering Committee on the Implementation of the Building Bridges Initiative” (BBI) on Wedn...
Talking Point: Cameroon – IMF provides further aid in fight against crisis
The IMF announced on October 21 that it has extended further financial support to Cameroon. This support came in the form of a second disbursement worth $156m under the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF) to...
South Africa: Deep GDP contraction unavoidable, recovery hinges on implementation of government's plan
There have been signs of the technical bounce-back we expect in Q3, but job losses will take some time to recover and confidence levels remain at dismal levels. Infrastructure deficiencies and policy...
Debilitating impact of dual shock will cause worst recession since the 1990s
Cameroon’s economy is set to experience its worst year in recent history as the Covid-19 crisis and ensuing commodity price slump severely affect growth prospects. Given the swift deterioration in the...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Leading indicator up further in August Rand benefits from softer dollar UK inflation rises in September US mortgage applications slip again
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Algeria - Algeria is set to be one of the hardest-hit countries on the African continent this year, contracting by a projected 11.9%. After a poor showing in 2019 – growth of 0.8% - Algeria was pummel...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
DRC – ADF frees 1,300 prisoners in Beni. Egypt – The legislative elections. Ethiopia – Official growth estimate surprises to the upside. Sudan – Trump to remove SST designation. Zambia – Step closer t...
Deep economic contraction on the cards in 2020, with a gradual but uncertain recovery ahead
On May 13, Lesotho was the last country on the continent to report its first case of Covid-19. Cases have remained low thus far, but the economic effects will be severe. Disruptions to trade, lower di...
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.#Tunisia’s fiscal deficit reported to increase to 14% of GDP in 2020.
Bank of #Mozambique keeps policy rate unchanged at 10.25% due to worsening inflation risks. We now expect interest rates will remain on hold for remainder of 2020.
Talks between #Libya’s rival governments in Geneva have yielded some agreements, and give reason for optimism that the political dialogue in #Tunisia next month can make progress on some of the more difficult issues.
During his time in office, President John Magufuli has increasingly closed up on the democratic space in #Tanzania. Will he ‘bulldoze’ his way through next week’s elections to secure a second term in office?
The Bank of #Namibia kept the repo rate at 3.75%. Next week’s South African medium-term budget statement could signal the future direction of interest rates.
S&P cut #Zambia to SD ahead of expiry of grace period on missed coupon payment as government statement alluded to unwillingness to pay.
President Uhuru Kenyatta and opposition leader Raila Odinga receive report from Building Bridges Initiative steering committee as #Kenya moves one step closer to a constitutional referendum. Deputy President William Ruto remains hostile to key recommendations.
The #IMF has announced its second disbursement under the #RCF to #Cameroon worth $156m. The additional funding is meant to assist the country in light of persistently weak external demand and the deepening economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic.
In the Media
- Oct 13 2020
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- Jul 06 2020
Africa Economic Insight
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Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.