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Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update, October 15. Franc Zone – Currency developments and outlook. Mauritius – Tourist arrivals disappointed in September. Morocco – BAM holds key policy rates. Namibia – Ext...
Talking Point: Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update, October 15
Africa’s number of active Covid-19 cases (confirmed cases minus deaths and recoveries) decreased this week to 450,508 by midnight on Thursday, October 14. However, we are cautious to be over-optimisti...
Talking Point: Franc Zone – Currency developments and outlook
The CFA franc, comprising both the Central African XAF and the West African XOF, is pegged to the euro at CFAfr655.96/€. Consequently, monetary policy changes in the eurozone and US are key determinan...
Talking Point: Tunisia – Moody’s downgrades Tunisia to Caa1, outlook negative
On Thursday, October 14, Moody’s downgraded the government of Tunisia’s long-term currency and local-currency issuer ratings to Caa1 from B3. Moody’s maintains its negative outlook. This is the second...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Kenya - The central bank was unable to hit issuance targets at the latest auction, with lacklustre demand evident in the undersubscription. Borrowing costs rose accordingly, especially those related t...
Talking Point: Mauritius – Tourist arrivals disappointed in September
Mauritius experienced a slight dip in tourist arrivals last month. The number of international travellers fell by 0.2% to 2,494 in September, with Europe accounting for 56.8% of all tourist arrivals,...
Talking Point: Namibia – External debt surges due to multilateral loans
The total (private and public) external debt stock increased by 15.0% y-o-y to $8.7bn at the end of Q2 2021, mainly due to increased government borrowing from multilateral institutions during this per...
Talking Point: Zimbabwe – Currency’s cracks have been there for a while
Around this time last year, we broached the issue of how Zimbabwe has been kicking the can down the road when it comes to dealing with the currency issue, and we have cautioned repeatedly since then a...
Talking Point: Morocco – BAM holds key policy rates
The Bank Al-Maghrib (BAM) kept the key policy rate unchanged at 1.5% at its third quarterly meeting of the year on Wednesday, October 13. In the communiqué issued after the meeting, the bank’s board s...
Weekly Africa Political Risk Report: Overview of the past week’s political developments
eSwatini – Military deployed as unrest threatens to return (Oct 13). Ethiopia – Military offensive to recapture lost territory in the north (Oct 13). Gabon – Workers across sectors threaten to strike...
Talking Point: South Africa – Cabinet ministers held by protesting military veterans
Two members of Cabinet and a deputy minister were held against their will for nearly three hours by disgruntled military veterans at the St George’s Hotel in Tshwane on Thursday, October 14, before be...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Cabinet ministers held by protesting military veterans ZAR endures losses US jobless claims break below 300,000 US producer prices show more signs of moderation
Despite surge in Covid-19 infections, stronger Q2 data boosts outlook
After expanding by 3.5% y-o-y in Q1 2021, real GDP grew by 20.6% y-o-y in Q2 thanks to solid expansions recorded by the industrial and services sectors. The stronger-than-expected expansion in Q2 has...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Rwanda - Selective issuance allowed the central bank to offset lacklustre demand for most of the instruments on offer, with borrowing costs increasing for most tenors. A very favourable growth outlook...
Featured African Economic Insights
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.#Namibia total external #debt stock increased by 15.0% y-o-y to $8.7bn at the end of Q2 2021.
The gap between #Zimbabwe official and unofficial exchange rate has widened notably over the course of this year.
.#Morocco The Bank Al-Maghrib (BAM) kept the key policy rates unchanged at 1.5% at its third quarterly meeting of the year on Wednesday, October 13.
Cabinet ministers held against their will as a meeting with disgruntled military veterans in Tshwane, #SouthAfrica, degenerated on Thursday, October 14. Special forces were called to end the stand-off with 56 people now facing kidnapping charges.
Higher fuel prices drive #Namibia #inflation slightly higher in September.
Real #GDP growth in #Tanzania slowed to 4.4% y-o-y in Q2. The slowdown can be attributed to dismal performance in the industrial and agricultural sectors.
.#Morocco’s gross international reserves increased marginally by 0.3% m-o-m to $35.1bn in September, according to the Bank al-Maghrib (BAM).
.#Rwanda’s current account deficit narrowed to $274.8m in Q2 from a revised deficit of $292.5m in Q1.
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Africa Economic Insight
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BESPOKE REPORT IN COLLABORATION WITH UNECA
Unemployment and underemployment remain pervasive across the continent, and demographic trends suggest that the situation will deteriorate further if not effectively addressed. In collaboration with UNECA, Oxford Economics Africa examined 34 employment initiatives across 15 different countries, with the aim that key lessons will inform policy recommendations across the continent.
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