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Talking Point: South Africa – Manufacturing output nosedives in October
Seasonally adjusted manufacturing output fell by 5.9% m-o-m in October, compared with the 3.0% m-o-m rise in September. On an annual basis, production was down by a staggering 8.9% y-o-y in October, v...
Nigeria Quarterly Update: Economic output back to pre-pandemic levels but downside risks persist
The economy surprised to the upside in Q3 2021 and we have revised our growth outlook accordingly. Given population pressures, the current growth trajectory still looks inadequate to lift living stand...
Talking Point: South Africa – Mining output starts Q4 on the front foot
Seasonally adjusted mining production increased by 3.4% m-o-m in October. This follows the 4.4% m-o-m drop in output in September. The latest print shows that mining production was up 2.1% compared wi...
Talking Point: South Africa – Goods exports run out of steam in Q3
South Africa’s current account surplus decreased significantly to R226bn in Q3, from a downwardly revised R311bn during the previous quarter. As a proportion of GDP, this translates into a 3.6% surplu...
Talking Point: Tanzania – CPI inflation resumes upward trend in November
Consumer price index (CPI) inflation increased from 4.0% y-o-y in October to 4.2% y-o-y in November. The largest contributors to the change in the CPI were the clothing & footwear (+0.6 ppt) and food...
Industrial production to recover in 2022, led by performance in the electronics sector
Key Features: Broad Country and Industry Coverage. The service covers consistent data, analysis, and forecasts of output and investment trends across 77 countries throughout Europe, Asia, the Americas...
Africa Quarterly Update: Omicron variant introduces another layer of uncertainty to the pandemic
Our outlook for a regional North African recovery has improved considerably this quarter, reflecting stronger growth prospects for three major economies: Egypt, Morocco and Algeria. Our expectation fo...
Talking Point: DRC – Agreement with Monusco on joint operations
The Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of Congo (FARDC) signed an agreement on Tuesday, December 7, in terms of which it and the UN force in the country, Monusco, would undertake joint military o...
Talking Point: South Africa – IMF says structural rigidities a key hindrance to growth
In the concluding statement of its 2021 Article IV Mission, the IMF highlighted that structural rigidities are dampening private investment and preventing the inclusive growth needed to address South...
Talking Point: Mozambique – Inflation continues to creep higher in November
The annual inflation rate ticked higher in November, reaching the highest level since November 2017, mainly due to the recent upward adjustments to fuel prices and continued food price inflation. Cons...
Questions abound about probability of reforms as IMF talks resume
The Tunisian government has resumed talks with the IMF to secure a $4bn loan. However, to satisfy requirements put forward by the Fund, the government will need to implement multiple reforms. When it...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Retail sales moderate in October Parliament rejects constitutional amendment Summer lull hit US productivity in Q3 US job openings jump
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Egypt - We are in the process of revising our macroeconomic projections for Egypt, with marginal upward adjustments to our 2021-22 GDP growth forecasts among the changes that have been executed.
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Mauritius – CPI inflation rises on the back of higher food prices. Namibia – MPC holds repo rate as Omicron strikes. South Africa – Retail sales moderate in October. South Africa – Parliament rejects...
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.#SouthAfrica manufacturing sector has experienced a tumultuous year so far in 2021. The impact of loadshedding and the worker strike was clearly visible in the October manufacturing figures.
.#SouthAfrica mining figures came in stronger than expected in October.
A sharp drop in exports caused #SouthAfrica current account surplus to decrease to R226bn (equivalent to 3.6% of GDP) in Q3 2021.
.#CPI inflation in #Tanzania increased from 4.0% y-o-y in October to 4.2% y-o-y in November. We expect inflationary pressures to heat up in H1 2022.
The military agreement between the #DRC army and #Monusco for cooperation against armed forces in the east of the country is welcome, on balance: it makes rights violations slightly less likely. But only slightly.
.#IMF urges #SouhtAfrica to get tough on underperforming parastatals and urgently adopt more business friendly policies.
Fuel prices keep upward pressure on #Mozambique #inflation in November.
.#SouthAfrica’s retail sales dip 1.3% in October dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-1… @OEAfrica
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