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Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Egypt - Our latest forecast and estimation revisions include upward adjustments to GDP growth for 2021 (by 0.1 ppt to 5.7%) and 2022 (by 0.3 ppt to 4.0%) following the release of the most recent high-...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Angola – Inflation ticked higher in December. Botswana – December’s inflation lingers near nine-year high. Democratic Republic of Congo – Vice-President of Parliament resigns. Ghana – Fitch downgrade...
Research Briefing: Egypt – When hot money is not so hot
Egypt has become a bit too reliant on portfolio inflows to keep its external position afloat. This is a vulnerable position to be in, and a sudden shift in emerging market sentiment could see capital...
Talking Point: Democratic Republic of Congo – Vice-President of Parliament resigns
On Friday, January 14, the vice-president of the National Assembly, Jean-Marc Kabund, announced his resignation on Twitter. He said that, as he faced “bullying, humiliation and torture”, his decision...
Impact of Omicron limited so far, while rising energy prices pose a bigger risk
The non-oil sector moved closer to expansionary territory in December, supported by an uptick in export orders and tourism activity, but high selling prices continued to weigh on consumer demand. Firm...
Talking Point: West Africa – Reactions against Ecowas sanctions
As we had thought, the imposition by regional body Ecowas of harsh sanctions against Mali is accelerating that country’s pivot away from Ecowas. It is also harming Ecowas’s ability to influence in the...
Talking Point: Ghana – Fitch downgrade follows as global borrowing costs surge
On Friday, January 14, Fitch Ratings (Fitch) announced that it had decided to downgrade Ghana’s long-term foreign currency issuer default rating (IDR) from ‘B’ to ‘B-’, while the outlook remains negat...
Talking Point: Tunisia – Firm action against anti-Saïed march
A protest march against President Kaïs Saïed was firmly repressed on Friday, January 14. Political parties and civil society organisations had called for the marches to protest against the way Mr Saïe...
Talking Point: Botswana – December’s inflation lingers near nine-year high
Consumer price index (CPI) inflation rose slightly to 8.7% y-o-y in December 2021 compared with the 8.6% y-o-y logged in November, according to Statistics Botswana’s (StatsBots) latest CPI report. Pri...
Talking Point: Angola – Inflation ticked higher in December
The headline inflation rate continued to inch higher in December, reaching the highest rate since July 2017, according to the National Statistics Institute’s (INE) latest data release. Consumer price...
SA Weekly Economic Report: Key developments for the week ended, January 14
What this past week showed is that 2022 will be another eventful year from a political perspective. Acting Chief Justice Raymond Zondo denounced tourism minister Lindiwe Sisulu’s recent article in whi...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Uganda - We expect food inflation to continue to face upward pressure after delays in rainfall had a negative impact on crop planting and development. This will weigh on the headline inflation reading...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Africa – Covid-19 update, January 14. Libya – Uncertainty about fresh presidential election. Namibia – Fuel prices drive inflation higher. Nigeria – Government lifts ban on Twitter. Zimbabwe – State s...
Talking Point: Namibia – Fuel prices drive inflation higher
Another hefty upward adjustment in local fuel prices – the seventh increase for the year – boosted inflation in the last month of 2021. Consumer price index (CPI) inflation ticked slightly higher to 4...
Featured African Economic Insights
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Jean-Marc Kabund, vice-president of the National Assembly in the #DRC, resigned on January 14, two days after a force under the command of the presidency raided his home. These developments suggest that the relationship between him and President Felix Tshisekedi has gone sour.
Expressions of support from across the region for the military government of #Mali, hit by #Ecowas sanctions, is indicative of one of our key trends for 2022: #France’s loss of influence in West Africa.
On Friday, #Fitch Ratings announced that it had decided to #downgrade #Ghana’s credit risk rating from ‘B’ to ‘B-’, citing fiscal concerns and the country’s effective loss of access to international capital markets. The ratings agency maintained its negative outlook.
.#Tunisia’s Interior Minister Taoufik Charfeddine repressed marches on Friday with some force. International coverage of the repression is doing President Saïed’s image harm, and he is losing support at home.
The December headline #inflation rate in #Botswana remained elevated near a nine-year high, still reflecting the impact of hefty fuel price hikes in 2021.
.#SouthAfrica Death of austerity, huge elections and threats of war: Political events to watch in #emergingmarkets in 2022 cnb.cx/33JciXZ @OEAfrica
Headline #inflation in #Angola continued to inch higher in December, reaching the highest rate since July 2017.
.#Mali’s military rulers are isolating the country from its neighbours and aligning themselves with Russia bloomberg.com/news/newslette… @OEAfrica
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Africa Economic Insight
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