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Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Nigeria: Policy rate on hold but CRR lifted. Zambia: Government growth forecast on the optimistic side
Talking Point: Nigeria – Policy rate on hold but CRR lifted
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has opted to keep the policy rate stable at 13.5%. However, the regulator decided to raise the cash reserve requirement (CRR) b...
Talking Point: Zambia – Government growth forecast on the optimistic side
President Edgar Lungu raised some eyebrows on Thursday, January 23, with an upbeat growth outlook for 2020. The president alluded to a growth forecast of 3% in his address to diplomats, citing a narro...
Algeria Quarterly Update: Economic growth to remain subdued amid declining oil output, and a low oil and gas price environment
Despite a slight uptick in Q3 2019, economic growth is expected to remain subdued over the medium term (averaging 1.6% p.a. over the 2020-24 period) due to a continued decline in oil output, as well a...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Rand trading close to its fair value PMIs corroborate signs of stabilisation in the eurozone Rebound in UK PMI should delay January rate cut Wall street flashes red
South Africa: Junk status imminent, but what does that mean?
In our view, South Africa’s economic fundamentals do not warrant an investment-grade sovereign credit rating and we expect Moody’s will cut its Baa3 credit rating on South Africa’s local-currency debt...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Botswana – Conceding upside risk posed by food price growth and exchange rate pass-through, we forecast inflation will remain benign at an average of 2.9% this year. Stable commodity prices coupled wi...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Tunisia: The thankless job of prime minister.
Talking Point: Tunisia – The thankless job of prime minister
Elyes Fakhfakh has been prime minister since Tuesday, January 21. President Kaïs Saïed named him to the post after Habib Jemli failed a vote of confidence in the House of People’s Representatives (ARP...
South Africa: Junk status imminent, but what does that mean?
In our view, South Africa’s economic fundamentals do not warrant an investment-grade sovereign credit rating and we expect Moody’s will cut its Baa3 credit rating on South Africa’s local-currency debt...
Weekly Africa Political Risk Report: Overview of the past week’s political developments
Libya: Oil output set to decline as conflict intensifies (Jan 20). Libya: A fragile ceasefire (Jan 17). Mozambique: Renamo dissidents a hindrance not a threat (Jan 20). Namibia: Poll c...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Leading business cycle indicator rises in November Local authorities step up surveillance of Asian arrivals US jobless claims have their groove back ECB holds rates steady
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Ethiopia – Our forecast for 2020 – at 7.1% - is slightly below consensus (7.3%), the IMF’s projection (7.2%), well above that of the World Bank (6.3%) and completely disconnected from the government’s...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Malawi: Upward surprise in December inflation is worrisome. Morocco: Inflationary pressures on the rise.
Featured African Economic Insights
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Latest Tweets
The central bank of #Nigeria kept the policy rate at 13.5% but raised the CRR to 27.5%. We are doubtful whether excess liquidity is driving inflation significantly higher and how this will help banks to step up lending to the private sector.
Government’s 2020 growth forecast for #Zambia on the optimistic side as impact of terms-of-trade shock persists.
.#SouthAfrican rand weaker as investors calculate impact of China virus af.reuters.com/article/africa…
.#SouthAfrica WATCH: Rand starts the week on a softer footing iol.co.za/business-repor… via @IOL
In the Media
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Africa Economic Insight
Get unparalleled economic and political insight for 29 African economies. Download up to three Research Briefings for free. Or, to get unlimited access to NKC African Economics' full database of briefings, commentary, daily analysis, high-quality research and data, request a free trial today.
Sample Country Report
Download a free sample report, highlighting our economic analysis, as well as incorporating our political assessment for Nigeria in 2018.
Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.