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Talking Point: Algeria – President approves 2021 budget and new constitution
President Abdelmadjid Tebboune (75) returned to Algiers on December 29. He had largely been out of the public eye since traveling to Germany at the end of October 2020 for medical treatment after test...
Talking Point: DRC – Tshisekedi making progress on his ‘Sacred Union’
On Thursday, December 31, President Felix Tshisekedi appointed an ‘informer’, as the constitution calls the post of the person charged with forming a new legislative majority at the president’s pleasu...
Talking Point: Côte d’Ivoire – Production activity ticks up at end of 2020 Q3
The latest data for Côte d’Ivoire’s Harmonised Index of Industrial Production (HIIP) was recently published for September. The figures indicate that production activity in the country might have start...
Talking Point: Côte d’Ivoire – Inflationary pressures show signs of slowing
The most recent consumer price index (CPI) data released by the National Institute of Statistics (INS) suggests that inflationary pressures in Côte d’Ivoire started to slow towards the end of 2020. CP...
Talking Point: Mauritius – Tourism slump weighs on current account deficit in Q3
The current account deficit reached $370m in Q3 2020, notably wider than the shortfall of $221m observed in the corresponding period of 2019. This deterioration is mainly ascribed to a significant dec...
Talking Point: Senegal – Real GDP holds up in 2020 Q3
Economic value added held up better than we had expected it to in 2020 Q3. According to data published by the National Statistical and Demographic Agency (ANSD), real GDP (at 2014 prices) in the quart...
Talking Point: Botswana – Trade deficit widens once again
The trade deficit widened to $292.4m in October 2020 compared with the $50.3m deficit recorded in September 2020 as goods imports continued its upwards march. Imports rose from $496.8m in August to $7...
Talking Point: Egypt – Non-oil sector contracts as second wave takes hold
Egypt
s purchasing managersindex (PMI) – an indicator of activity in the non-oil sector – slipped below the 50-mark level in December, declining by 2.7 pts to 48.2 pts. This signals a contraction in...Talking Point: Cameroon – Inflation seen easing in 2021
The latest consumer price index (CPI) figures released by the National Institute of Statistics (INS) indicate that inflation in Cameroon largely stabilised on a y-o-y basis in 2020 Q3. The index incre...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Business expectations drop in December Rand runs out of momentum Crude prices scale to multi-month highs New lockdown set to push UK back into recession
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Ghana - While growth surprised to the upside in 2020, the road forward remains uneven and fraught with uncertainty. Nonetheless, we foresee the economy rebounding to 5.8% this year before settling int...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Botswana – Tentative GDP recovery recorded in Q3. Kenya – Consumer price inflation ticks higher in December. Mauritius – Halt in tourism keeps economy in negative territory in Q3. Namibia – Credit app...
Talking Point: Zimbabwe – Economy starts 2021 on the back foot
Zimbabwe entered its second lockdown on 5 January 2021, following a surge in new Covid-19 cases. This is the country’s second hard lockdown and it will be in place for a period of 30 days after which...
Talking Point: Namibia – Credit appetite improves slightly but remains poor
Private sector credit extension (PSCE) growth ticked higher in November but remains modest by historical standards, according to the Bank of Namibia’s (BoN) latest Money and Banking Statistics report....
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The Reserve Bank of #Zimbabwe is attempting to introduce ever-higher denomination notes, but inflation still approaches 400%. theafricareport.com/61176/zimbabwe…
Sisi’s #Egypt: Mega-projects, scared citizens, no succession plan theafricareport.com/58444/al-sisis…
President Tshisekedi of the #DRC’s next move against his predecessor, Joseph Kabila, is aimed at PM Sylvestre Ilunga. While the legality of the motion itself is unclear, it has shown that the president now has the upper hand in the legislature.
Polisario vows that the war against #Morocco for the #WesternSahara will “continue and escalate” after firing rockets at a position near Guerguerat on Saturday night. We see essentially no risk of conflict beyond occasional pot shots at bases.
The High Court of #Malawi dismissed the application by former president Peter Mutharika to lift restrictions on his bank accounts which were frozen by the Anti-Corruption Bureau as part of an investigation into a MK5bn cement scandal.
Another leaked document from the Fishrot corruption scandal in #Namibia alleges that Swapo and President Hage Geingob benefitted from the N$2.5bn scheme. The new evidence will contribute to the increasing decline in support for the current government.
.#Morocco`s consumer price index (CPI) registered deflation in December, driven by declining food prices.
.#CotedIvoire announces that the arrival of its first batch of 100,000 doses of the Pfizer BioNTech #Covid19 #vaccine has been delayed by two weeks and will now take place in the middle of February. Much more will be required to attain herd immunity.
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Africa Economic Insight
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Sample Country Report
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Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.