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SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Producer price inflation quickens slightly in October Rand dips, with Ramaphosa set to face motion of no confidence Covid-19 pushes up UK government spending October minutes show ECB poised to up sti...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Tanzania - Fiscal policy tend to underperform as both expenditure and revenues missed their targets in the previous FY, highlighting the ongoing challenge of policy execution. Due to pandemic-related...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Lesotho – CBL follows the Sarb’s lead. South Africa – Producer price inflation quickens slightly in October.
Weekly Africa Insight: Overview of the past week’s political and macroeconomic developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update (Nov 20). Egypt – NGOs and diplomats (Nov 25). Egypt – IMF completes first review under separate Stand-by Arrangement (Nov 20). eSwatini – Rate freeze announced by cent...
Talking Point: South Africa – Producer price inflation quickens slightly in October
Prices at the factory gate rose slightly in October according to Statistics South Africa’s (StatsSA) latest producer price index (PPI) report. On a monthly basis, the PPI for final manufactured goods...
Talking Point: Lesotho – CBL follows the Sarb’s lead
The Central Bank of Lesotho (CBL) decided to maintain its policy rate at 3.5% during its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting held on November 24. In tangent, the CBL has also decided to increase t...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Business confidence surges to two-year high Price pressures to remain benign in Q3 Record US Q3 GDP advance unchanged US consumers’ outlook weighed down by surging virus cases
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Botswana - We have now revised the 2020 contraction outlook even deeper to 11.8% - from 10.2% previously – as the Q2 GDP release surprised to the downside.
Negative growth in 2020, and an unpromising long-term picture because of climate change
Economic growth accelerated to 4.4% last year but on account of the repercussions of Covid-19 on the economy, we forecast a 1.2% contraction in real GDP in 2020. Economic growth should then rebound to...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Egypt – NGOs and diplomats. Mozambique – Real GDP records slight recovery in Q3 2020. Nigeria – CBN holds firm as the apex bank rides out the storm. South Africa – Business confidence surges to two-ye...
Slow economic recovery expected due to local factors and weak tourism
The H1 GDP figures confirm that the economy is on track for a sharp contraction this year, due to the effects of the coronavirus crisis and other idiosyncratic factors. The latter include the lagged e...
Slow and gradual economic recovery began in Q3, but risks are still tilted to the upside
Real GDP declined by 8.7% y-o-y in Q3, compared with a decline of 14.9% y-o-y in Q2 2020, largely reflecting a weaker contraction in household consumption than in Q2. On the other hand, investment saw...
The economy just cannot catch a break
Zimbabwe’s fragile economic state means that the country is struggling more than others in this disastrous year. We were early to call a deep economic contraction at the outset of the coronavirus pand...
Talking Point: South Africa – Business confidence surges to two-year high
The RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) improved further from 24 points in Q3 to 40 points in Q4. The index plunged to an all-time low of five points in Q2. The improvement in business confidence...
Featured African Economic Insights
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Benchmark policy rate in #Kenya remains unchanged at 7.0% as inflation remains within target and economic activity continues to recover.
.#SouthAfrica, #Egypt and #Algeria witness significant increases in active #Covid19 cases; WHO warns about adverse effect of colder temperatures in North Africa.
.#Ghana’s trade balance deteriorated only marginally over the first three quarters of the year, as a slump in oil export receipts was somewhat counterbalanced by a rise in both gold and cocoa export receipts.
A rise in goods #exports and a fall in goods #imports saw #Tanzania’s current account deficit narrowing by more than 50% y-o-y in the first 10 months of 2020.
World Bank now expects #Kenya’s economy to contract by at least 1.0% this year due to the sudden financial and economic stops caused by Covid-19 containment measures and disruptions.
A motion of no confidence in #SouthAfrica’s Cyril Ramaphosa, moved by the fringe African Transformation Movement (ATM), is doomed to fail but will give opposition parties an opportunity to grandstand during the debate on December 3.
Headline inflation raced towards a four-year high in November as #Zambia endures exchange rate pass-through and an early start to the lean season.
Higher demand for foreign construction services and travel restrictions weigh on #Mozambique current account deficit in Q3 2020.
In the Media
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Africa Economic Insight
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Sample Country Report
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Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.