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Weekly Africa Insight: Overview of the past week’s political and macroeconomic developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update (Feb 26). Angola – Foreign reserves start 2021 on a firmer footing (Mar 4). Botswana – BoB keeps banking rate unchanged (Feb 26). Central Africa – Chad’s Deby gets brut...
Egypt Quarterly Update: Risks are skewed to the downside, despite positive Q3 2020 real GDP data
Egypt has proven to be one of the most resilient emerging market economies in the face of the pandemic. Recent preliminary figures show that after contracting by just 1.7% y-o-y in Q2 2020, real GDP r...
Talking Point: Angola – Foreign reserves start 2021 on a firmer footing
Gross international reserves (excluding gold reserves) stood at $14.3bn at the end of January 2021, up from $13.8bn at the end of December 2020, according to the latest statistics from the Bank of Ang...
Talking Point: Ghana – Private sector picks up more pace despite second wave
According to the IHS Markit purchasing managers’ index (PMI), private sector activity in Ghana expanded at a faster pace in February. The index increased from 51.2 in January to 52.5 in February. This...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Public sector unions make wage demands US vehicle sales freeze in February US services primed for a summer acceleration UK services PMI points to activity stabilising
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Egypt - As growth momentum slowed coming into 2021, subdued inflation provides the perfect opportunity to provide an additional boost to the economy, while maintaining one of the highest real interest...
South Africa: Recovery flattened in Q4 and growth will be modest in 2021
The second wave of Covid-19 infections, most of them from a more contagious variant of the virus, and the resulting renewed adjusted level 3 restrictions that lasted until end-January, prompted us to...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
East and Southern Africa – Cabo Delgado insurgency brings trouble to the region. eSwatini – Windfall used to reduce domestic arrears. Kenya – First batch of Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccines delivered. Nig...
Talking Point: East and Southern Africa – Cabo Delgado insurgency brings trouble to the region
On Tuesday, March 2, global human rights organisation Amnesty International published a new report about the conflict in Mozambique’s gas-rich northern Cabo Delgado province. The report, titled What I...
Malawi Quarterly Update: Growth forecast for 2021 lowered as second wave of Covid-19 demands new lockdown measures
As Malawi enters 2021, there are few green shoots to talk about that could aid the country’s economic recovery. Overall, we estimate that the economy contracted by 1.2% in 2020 but should rebound mode...
Talking Point: Kenya – First batch of Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccines delivered
On Wednesday, March 3, Kenya received 1.02 million doses of the Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine through the global Covax facility – a global initiative working with governments and vaccine manufac...
Talking Point: eSwatini – Windfall used to reduce domestic arrears
During his February budget speech, the minister of finance announced that the government’s fiscal metrices have been more resilient to the Covid-19 pandemic shock than previously thought. After revisi...
Pre-election populistic agenda to stall restructuring and IMF progress
Robust copper sector performance and strong growth in the information & communications technology sector cushioned the estimated GDP contraction in 2020 to a more palatable 2.8%. Stellar recovery in g...
Talking Point: Nigeria – The vaccination drive commences
The Nigerian government will soon commence what is expected to be one of the world’s most challenging vaccination programmes. The first batch of Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccines, amounting to just...
Featured African Economic Insights
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Active #Covid19 cases in #Africa drop to a near three month low; Ghana and Côte d’Ivoire begin Covid-19 vaccines rollout.
Supreme Court in #Ghana dismisses opposition leader John Mahama's election petition, upholding President Nana Akufo-Addo's victory in the December polls. Although Mr Akufo-Addo's victory margin was small, the ruling was expected.
.#SouthAfrica’s gross reserves declined to $53.8bn in February. Reserves are expected to decline further this year as commodity prices and an increase in domestic demand add pressure to the import bill.
1.7 million doses of the AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine arrived in the #DRC this week.
.#Uganda’s fiscal deficit for January exceeded the budgeted amount by 57.1%, as tax revenues fell and foreign aid dried up in the period surrounding turbulent elections.
High-frequency data releases published in the past month suggest that #Namibia recession continued in Q4 2020.
.#Uganda recorded the worst trade deficit on record during December 2020.
.#Algeria’s CPI inflation rate surged by more than a percentage point to 3.8% in January, driven by food price increases and a weakening exchange rate.
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Africa Economic Insight
Get unparalleled economic and political insight into 54 African economies. Download up to three Research Briefings for free. Or, to get unlimited access to NKC African Economics' full database of briefings, commentary, daily analysis, high-quality research and data, request a free trial today.
Sample Country Report
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Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.