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Talking Point: Ghana – Acceleration in inflation likely to force MPC’s hand
The most recent consumer price index (CPI) print by the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) indicates that price pressures continue to soar, as annual inflation accelerated from 12.6% y-o-y (1.2% m-o-m) i...
Talking Point: Libya – ‘Assassination attempt’ on PM Dbeibah
Gunmen fired at Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dbeibah’s convoy in the capital, Tripoli, on the morning of Thursday, February 10. The weapons used were assault rifles. One bullet went through his car’s win...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Tanzania - At its first rate-setting convention of the year, the MPC dismissed accelerating inflation to keep the policy rate unchanged. However, in the face of quickening price growth we believe that...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
DRC – President’s security aide arrested for suspected coup plot. Mauritius – CPI inflation speeds up in January. Tunisia – Reforms tabled to satisfy IMF requirements.
Talking Point: Tunisia – Reforms tabled to satisfy IMF requirements
Tunisian hard-currency debt instruments have endured significant pressure of late. Pricing indicates that the country has lost effective access to external markets, closing this avenue as a potential...
Talking Point: Mauritius – CPI inflation speeds up in January
Consumer price index (CPI) inflation rose from 6.8% y-o-y in December 2021 to 7.4% y-o-y in January – the highest it has been since November 2008. An increase in transport price inflation was the main...
Talking Point: DRC – President’s security aide arrested for suspected coup plot
On Tuesday, February 8, President Félix Tshisekedi’s office released its first official statement regarding the arrest of Francois Beya, a senior security advisor to the presidency. It said that “inve...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Ghana - The effective loss of market access came as an assault on Ghana’s funding strategy, with the West African nation frequently turning to global capital markets to meet budgetary shortfalls in li...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Egypt – Tourism rebounds, but current account imbalance persists. Morocco – Gas to be imported from Spain. South Africa – Report into July 2021 unrest points to multiple failures. West Africa – High-f...
Research Briefing: Africa – Political economy watchlist 2022
Our political economy watchlist for 2022 looks at the political drivers behind developments surrounding the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Taking a regional perspective, in East Africa, we examine t...
Talking Point: Morocco – Gas to be imported from Spain
On Thursday, February 3, the Spanish government said that it would help Morocco “guarantee its energy security” by facilitating the transport of natural gas south through the Maghreb-Europe gas pipeli...
Talking Point: West Africa – High-flying Senegal to lose economic elevation this year
After scoring just one goal in the first three games, les Lions de la Téranga scored eight goals in the subsequent three games to set up an Africa Cup of Nations (Afcon) final against continental gian...
Talking Point: South Africa – Report into July 2021 unrest points to multiple failures
On Monday, February 7, President Cyril Ramaphosa authorised the release of a report by an expert panel he appointed to review his government’s response to the “orchestrated public violence, destructio...
Talking Point: Egypt – Tourism rebounds, but current account imbalance persists
Egypt’s current account deficit widened by $5.4bn y-o-y to $14.8bn over the first three quarters of 2021, according to the latest estimates from the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE). This reflects a consid...
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.#Angola crude #oil production dipped for the second-consecutive month in March. Nevertheless, oil output did improve slightly in Q1 2022 as a whole compared with Q1 2021.
President Ouattara of #Cotedivore has named a vice-president: Tiemoko Meyliet Koné, an economist who has spent most of his career at the West African central bank, the BCEAO. The nomination is positive from the point of view of governance.
.#SouthAfrica headline inflation rate came in at 5.9% y-o-y in March, 0.2 ppt higher than the previous month. The March inflation print was slightly lower than the consensus forecast of 6.0% y-o-y.
In its WEO for April the #IMF makes downward revisions to the global growth outlook in response to the war in Ukraine. #Africa is an exception: the Fund’s view of growth in sub-Saharan Africa is unchanged since October. But the outlook for the price environment is bleak.
Inflation in #Sudan rose to 263.2% y-o-y in March. The October coup d'état has sent the already fragile economy into free fall. Living standards are rapidly deteriorating as prices continue to soar, and 18 million people are at risk of facing food insecurity in coming months.
.#Angola #inflation rate dips slightly in March, marking the second-straight disinflation reading this year. The stronger kwanza should give consumers some reprieve this year.
The number of #tourists visiting #Mauritius rose to 66,066 in March as Covid-19 restrictions were relaxed and pandemic-related fears became more of a faint memory.
The #inflation outlook in #Nigeria deteriorated over the past month as the headline print rose to 15.9% y-o-y due to food and fuel prices pressures. Inflation should continue trending upwards throughout Q2 and Q3, averaging above 16.0% this year.
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