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Talking Point: Mozambique – Renamo junta attacks buses in central Sofala province
Members of the so-called ‘Renamo Military Junta’ (RMJ), a splinter group of the opposition Mozambican National Resistance (Renamo) party, has been blamed for a series of attacks targeting buses in Sof...
Talking Point: Libya – Oil exports resume as force majeure is lifted
Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) has lifted a force majeure on oil export terminals without a militant presence – a step towards resuming oil exports. The decision followed the announcement on F...
Talking Point: Mozambique – Real GDP falls less than expected in Q2
As expected, the Mozambican economy recorded a contraction in Q2 2020 due to adverse effects of the coronavirus crisis, but the downturn was less severe than we expected. More specifically, preliminar...
Talking Point: South Africa – External conditions becoming increasingly supportive
Last week’s policy rate decision was difficult to both call and make, due to the unprecedented nature of the Covid-19 pandemic and the various uncertainties clouding the country’s economic outlook. Ca...
Talking Point: Ethiopia – Oromo activists charged with terrorism
Ethiopia’s attorney-general’s office announced on Saturday, September 19, that it has filed terrorism charges against Oromo activist, politician, and media owner, Jawar Mohammed, and 23 others. The ac...
Talking Point: eSwatini – Central bank keeps rates on hold
The Central Bank of eSwatini (CBE) decided at its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on September 18 to keep the country’s policy rate unchanged at 3.75%. The outcome follows a tough call by the...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
External conditions favourable to emerging markets Rand retreats from six-month high Pandemic plunges US current account deficit to widest since 2008 US consumers perk up a bit, but still in a funk
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
eSwatini - Amid continued fiscal deterioration, debt sustainability concerns are starting to emerge as public debt is forecast to breach the 70% of GDP mark by 2023.
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update. Botswana – Debt ceiling increase to support debt market development. DRC – ECF arrangement on the horizon, but conditions apply. Ethiopia – Deadly communal violence in...
Talking Point: Namibia – Populist pressure ahead of local authority elections
Ahead of the local authority elections taking place on November 25, the radical populist Affirmative Repositioning (AR) movement’s objections against the ruling Swapo party and political system have b...
Talking Point: Ghana – Lower food price pressures drive inflation lower
After stickily remaining well above the inflation target range for a couple of months, consumer price index (CPI) inflation decelerated in August. More specifically, inflation fell to 10.5% y-o-y in A...
Talking Point: Kenya – Kenyatta and Odinga break Senate deadlock
The deadlock over a new revenue-sharing model for counties has been broken with Kenya’s Senate voting on Thursday, September 17, to adopt a third formula agreed to two days earlier following an interv...
Talking Point: Namibia – Populist pressure ahead of local authority elections
Ahead of the local authority elections taking place on November 25, the radical populist Affirmative Repositioning (AR) movement’s objections against the ruling Swapo party and political system have b...
Talking Point: Sudan – Inflation rises to new record high in August
According to the latest data released by the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), consumer price index (CPI) inflation rose significantly in July and August. CPI inflation rose from 143.8% y-o-y in Jul...
Featured African Economic Insights
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.#Zambia requests six-month debt suspension of debt service payments from Eurobond holders after indicating in August that it will seek private sector participation in the DSSI.
.#Kenya’s Chief Justice David Maraga has recommended to President Uhuru Kenyatta that the country’s Parliament be dissolved for failing to enact gender parity legislation, as per the constitution, but his calls are unlikely to be heeded.
Expected debt relief for #Angola of up to $6.2bn over the next three years from three of its most prominent creditors to help fill the financing gap.
The Council of the Bank al-Maghrib (BAM) decided to keep #Morocco`s key policy rate unchanged at 1.5% at its most recent meeting on Tuesday, September 22.
.#Inflation in #CotedIvoire has slowed somewhat in August on the back of weaker oil prices and easing transportation costs. Currently averaging 2.5% for 2020 so far, it seems like the oil price will determine the direction of inflation in the last four months of the year.
.#CBN reduces #Nigeria’s policy rate by 100 bps to 11.5% despite inflation trending sharply higher. CBN now to rely on supply-side measures to combat inflation, but will this have the desired impact?
Former president of #Malawi Joyce Banda has been implicated in the US #FinCENfiles which revealed how $2trn in illicit funds moved across 170 countries for two decades. She is being investigated over an arms deal with #SouthAfrica’s Paramount Group.
Our expectation of trouble in #Cotedivoire over the rest of the year has been strengthened by Bédié’s call for civil disobedience. President Ouattara remains the favourite to win.
In the Media
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Africa Economic Insight
Get unparalleled economic and political insight into 54 African economies. Download up to three Research Briefings for free. Or, to get unlimited access to NKC African Economics' full database of briefings, commentary, daily analysis, high-quality research and data, request a free trial today.
Sample Country Report
Download a free sample report, highlighting our economic analysis, as well as incorporating our political assessment for Nigeria in 2018.
Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.