Latest Analysis
Talking Point: Egypt – Vaccination of high-priority groups set to begin this week
As Egypt passes the trough of its second wave of Covid-19 infections, progress on the vaccination front seems to be picking up. The registration system for citizens aged 40 and above and patients with...
Talking Point: Zambia – Inflation quickens in February to near estimated peak
Headline inflation quickened for a sixth consecutive month to reach a new multi-year high of 22.2% y-o-y in February. This came as accelerated price growth in the food index (up 1.7 ppts to 27.3% y-o-...
Talking Point: Tunisia – Ennahdha brings numbers into the streets
Ennahdha, the Islamist party with the biggest caucus in the House of People’s Representatives (ARP), organised a very sizeable protest march on Saturday, February 27, to show its strength. Police say...
Talking Point: Senegal – Sonko loses his immunity
Ousmane Sonko, the most important political adversary to President Macky Sall, has lost the immunity from prosecution that he enjoyed as an MP, and will be charged with rape. On Friday, February 26, 9...
Talking Point: Lesotho – Weak recovery in output
Real GDP (non-seasonally adjusted) contracted by 13.0% y-o-y in Q3 2020, compared with a contraction of 21.4% y-o-y in Q2 2020, according to Lesotho’s Bureau of Statistics. Nevertheless, quarter-on-qu...
Talking Point: South Africa – Manufacturing activity accelerates in February
The Absa purchasing managers’ index (PMI) jumped to 53 pts in February, from 50.9 pts in January. The latest reading coincides with the first month of relaxed restrictions, after many of the adjusted...
Bounce back forecast for 2021 as diamond exports recover and stimulus boosts domestic activity
The current account balance is projected to improve over the medium term due to a recovery in exports Because diamond mining plays such a dominant role in Botswana’s economy, the downturn in internati...
Talking Point: South Africa – Corruption verdict raises alarm
The corruption case against former Minister of State Security Bongani Bongo was dismissed on Friday, February 26, in a decision that could have great significance for similar prosecutions in the futur...
Mozambique Quarterly Update: Difficult path to recovery due to Covid-19 and Cabo Delgado crises
Exports are set to recover this year, but will remain under pressure in H1 due to operational issues adversely affecting major exporters. Meanwhile, worsening Covid-19 infections and slow vaccine roll...
Talking Point: Morocco – Dirham retreats against US dollar in February
The strong appreciatory trend followed by the Moroccan dirham against the dollar for the past nine months reversed in February. Specifically, the Moroccan dirham weakened by 0.5% m-o-m to an average o...
Talking Point: Kenya – Consumer price inflation ticks higher in February
The latest consumer price index (CPI) publication from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) shows that CPI inflation ticked slightly higher to 5.8% y-o-y in February from 5.7% y-o-y the prev...
Talking Point: Côte d’Ivoire – Covax scheme delivers first batch of vaccines
Côte d’Ivoire became the second African beneficiary of the World Health Organisation’s global vaccine sharing scheme, Covax, when it received a batch of Covid-19 vaccines on Friday, February 26. A bat...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Ninth-straight goods trade surplus narrowing in January Credit extension falls in January as uncertainty rises US consumer sentiment at a 6-month low India GDP returns to growth in Q4
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Zambia - Inflation hit a new multi-year high this month, with further rate hikes seen.
Featured African Economic Insights
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Latest Tweets
.#SouthAfrica’s gross reserves declined to $53.8bn in February. Reserves are expected to decline further this year as commodity prices and an increase in domestic demand add pressure to the import bill.
1.7 million doses of the AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine arrived in the #DRC this week.
.#Uganda’s fiscal deficit for January exceeded the budgeted amount by 57.1%, as tax revenues fell and foreign aid dried up in the period surrounding turbulent elections.
High-frequency data releases published in the past month suggest that #Namibia recession continued in Q4 2020.
.#Uganda recorded the worst trade deficit on record during December 2020.
.#Algeria’s CPI inflation rate surged by more than a percentage point to 3.8% in January, driven by food price increases and a weakening exchange rate.
Recovery in #African countries will depend on underlying economic fundamentals, not on achieving herd immunity. abmagazine.accaglobal.com/global/article… @NKCAfrica
External financing and stronger #oil price support #Angola foreign exchange reserve recovery.
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A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.