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Talking Point: Ghana – Despite contracting, GDP better than expected in Q2
As expected, Ghana’s economic activity slumped during Q2 and consequently contracted for the first time in almost four decades. However, the magnitude of the contraction during the second quarter surp...
Worst recession on record expected for 2020, following coronavirus-induced economic crisis
The coronavirus pandemic has stifled global growth, suppressed international demand and disrupted supply chains, weakening economic growth prospects. Tunisia spent the majority of Q2 in self-imposed i...
Talking Point: Mozambique – Inflation remained stable in August
The annual inflation rate was basically unchanged in August 2020 and has now remained below 3% for the past three months. Consumer price index (CPI) inflation (non-seasonally adjusted) was recorded at...
Talking Point: Gabon – Libreville mayor in hot water
Léandre Nzué, the mayor of Libreville, was remanded into custody on Tuesday, September 15, in connection with a hearing into misappropriating public funds and money laundering. He was placed under pol...
Talking Point: Namibia – Transport price inflation shifts out of reverse gear
Headline inflation ticked marginally higher to 2.4% y-o-y in August from 2.1% y-o-y in July, according to the latest consumer price index (CPI) report.
Tunisia Quarterly Update: Worst recession on record as Covid-19 expected to cause 10.2% real GDP contraction in 2020
During the second quarter of this year, the government implemented strict lockdown measures: closing the country’s borders, limiting trade, and restricting the movement of people. While this stemmed t...
Talking Point: South Africa – Country to lift restrictions, open borders at alert level 1
President Cyril Ramaphosa announced on Wednesday, September 16, that as of midnight, September 20, the country would move to alert level 1 of government’s risk-adjusted strategy to fight Covid-19. Mr...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Retail sales lose momentum Borders to open under alert level 1 US consumers are being increasingly cautious FOMC statement is dovish but nonspecific
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Mauritius - We estimate that the easing cycle has reached a trough and expect the BoM to keep the key repo rate at 1.85% at its next MPC meeting, which is scheduled for next Wednesday, September 23.
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Angola – Kwanza misery pushes inflation to near three-year high. Botswana – Transport deflation keeping the brakes on CPI. Nigeria – Security deployment in Edo State ahead of key elections. South Afri...
Talking Point: Botswana – Transport deflation keeping the brakes on CPI
Amid continued transport price deflation and muted price pressures in the rest of the consumer price index (CPI), Botswana’s headline inflation rate edged higher to 1.0% y-o-y after recording prints o...
Talking Point: South Africa – Drop in retail trade sales reflects loss of momentum
Seasonally adjusted retail trade sales dropped by 1.1% m-o-m in July. The outturn was much worse than the Bloomberg consensus expectation of a 3.3% m-o-m increase. Total sales came in 9.0% lower in Ju...
Talking Point: Angola – Kwanza misery pushes inflation to near three-year high
The headline inflation rate continues to climb higher, reaching the highest rate since December 2017, according to the National Statistics Institute’s (INE) latest data. Consumer price index (CPI) inf...
Talking Point: Zimbabwe – Abating price pressures in August don’t tell the full story
The latest figures from Zimbabwe’s National Statistics Agency (ZimStat) show that consumer price index (CPI) inflation dropped notably in August. The headline CPI inflation rate decelerated from 837.5...
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.#Zambia requests six-month debt suspension of debt service payments from Eurobond holders after indicating in August that it will seek private sector participation in the DSSI.
.#Kenya’s Chief Justice David Maraga has recommended to President Uhuru Kenyatta that the country’s Parliament be dissolved for failing to enact gender parity legislation, as per the constitution, but his calls are unlikely to be heeded.
Expected debt relief for #Angola of up to $6.2bn over the next three years from three of its most prominent creditors to help fill the financing gap.
The Council of the Bank al-Maghrib (BAM) decided to keep #Morocco`s key policy rate unchanged at 1.5% at its most recent meeting on Tuesday, September 22.
.#Inflation in #CotedIvoire has slowed somewhat in August on the back of weaker oil prices and easing transportation costs. Currently averaging 2.5% for 2020 so far, it seems like the oil price will determine the direction of inflation in the last four months of the year.
.#CBN reduces #Nigeria’s policy rate by 100 bps to 11.5% despite inflation trending sharply higher. CBN now to rely on supply-side measures to combat inflation, but will this have the desired impact?
Former president of #Malawi Joyce Banda has been implicated in the US #FinCENfiles which revealed how $2trn in illicit funds moved across 170 countries for two decades. She is being investigated over an arms deal with #SouthAfrica’s Paramount Group.
Our expectation of trouble in #Cotedivoire over the rest of the year has been strengthened by Bédié’s call for civil disobedience. President Ouattara remains the favourite to win.
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Africa Economic Insight
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Sample Country Report
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Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.