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SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Double downgrade reflects weak fiscal credibility US leading indicators maintain pace in October UK’s retail resilience continues in October Impact of a no-trade-deal Brexit will be limited
Talking Point: South Africa – Double downgrade reflects weak fiscal credibility
All three major rating agencies announced rating actions on South Africa on Friday, November 20. Both Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings downgraded, while S&P Global Ratings affirmed its rati...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Kenya - While we estimate that a recovery is already underway, the economic output losses in H1 will not be fully recouped. Nonetheless, aided by fiscal and monetary stimulus, Kenya is expected to get...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update. Egypt – IMF completes first review under separate Stand-by Arrangement. Ethiopia – Tigray launches more rockets, targets Amhara’s capital. Ghana – Inflation continues...
Talking Point: Ghana – Inflation continues to tick lower in October
In October, consumer price index (CPI) inflation declined to its lowest level since the Covid-19 pandemic commenced. Inflation fell to 10.1% y-o-y in October, from 10.4% y-o-y in the previous month. O...
Talking Point: South Africa – ANC reveals discussion papers
On Friday, November 20, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) released a series of discussion papers which aim to “trigger discussions and debates around a broad range of issues that confront the...
Talking Point: Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update
As of Thursday, November 19, there were 269,076 active cases of Covid-19 in Africa (confirmed cases minus deaths and recoveries), up by just over 13,000 in the week. Confirmed cases broke through the...
Talking Point: Ethiopia – Tigray launches more rockets, targets Amhara’s capital
Forces loyal to the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) in the northern Tigray region have reportedly fired rockets targeting Bahir Dar, the regional capital of neighbouring Amhara, overnight on N...
Talking Point: Tanzania – Investment at the forefront of the nation’s 2020-25 plan
Over the next five years, Tanzania plans to elevate the economy, fight poverty, and reduce unemployment. To achieve these goals, President John Magufuli has laid out several investment plans to boost...
Namibia Quarterly Update: Growth forecast unchanged; recovery in 2021 still expected to be challenging
We maintain our forecast for a 7.4% contraction in real GDP this year and a relatively weak recovery of 4.7% in 2021 on the back of the lifting of containment measures and base effects. While the easi...
Talking Point: Egypt – IMF completes first review under Stand-by Arrangement
The IMF has reached a staff-level agreement on the first review of Egypt’s economic programme supported by a 12-month Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) valued at $5.2bn. The staff-level agreement was met dur...
Ethiopia Quarterly Update: Escalating violence in Tigray raises long-term macroeconomic risks
A rapid deterioration in the security environment in Tigray and Amhara regions threatens to overturn nascent growth recovery. The surge in idiosyncratic risk came after the collision of two exogenous...
Weekly Africa Political Risk Report: Overview of the past week’s political developments
Côte d’Ivoire – From our Annual Country Profile (Nov 17). Côte d’Ivoire – Outlook after Ouattara and Bédié’s meeting (Nov 16). East Africa – Tigray launches rockets in ‘retaliation’, targets Amhara (N...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Decision to hold rates again comes down to one vote Rand trades on the back foot Philly Fed manufacturing growth notches down US initial jobless claims increase as expiration of benefits draws closer...
Featured African Economic Insights
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Benchmark policy rate in #Kenya remains unchanged at 7.0% as inflation remains within target and economic activity continues to recover.
.#SouthAfrica, #Egypt and #Algeria witness significant increases in active #Covid19 cases; WHO warns about adverse effect of colder temperatures in North Africa.
.#Ghana’s trade balance deteriorated only marginally over the first three quarters of the year, as a slump in oil export receipts was somewhat counterbalanced by a rise in both gold and cocoa export receipts.
A rise in goods #exports and a fall in goods #imports saw #Tanzania’s current account deficit narrowing by more than 50% y-o-y in the first 10 months of 2020.
World Bank now expects #Kenya’s economy to contract by at least 1.0% this year due to the sudden financial and economic stops caused by Covid-19 containment measures and disruptions.
A motion of no confidence in #SouthAfrica’s Cyril Ramaphosa, moved by the fringe African Transformation Movement (ATM), is doomed to fail but will give opposition parties an opportunity to grandstand during the debate on December 3.
Headline inflation raced towards a four-year high in November as #Zambia endures exchange rate pass-through and an early start to the lean season.
Higher demand for foreign construction services and travel restrictions weigh on #Mozambique current account deficit in Q3 2020.
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Africa Economic Insight
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Sample Country Report
Download a free sample report, highlighting our economic analysis, as well as incorporating our political assessment for Nigeria in 2018.
Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.