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Talking Point: Egypt – Tax reforms remain a priority despite pandemic
The latest data from the Ministry of Finance (MoF) shows that, despite the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, government revenue growth accelerated over the first five months of 2020/21 FY, compared with the...
Talking Point: Nigeria – Survey suggests Covid-19 more pervasive than expected
The Covid-19 Household Seroprevalence Surveys conducted by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) and Nigeria Institute for Medical Research (NIMR) suggest that as many as one in five individua...
Talking Point: Uganda – Government mulls expanding tax on cash withdrawals
Documents leaked from the Ministry of Finance have indicated the intention to impose a 0.5% levy on all cash withdrawals from bank tills, agency banking, and automated teller machines (ATMs). The inte...
Weekly Africa Political Risk Report: Overview of the past week’s political developments
Algeria – The hirak returns (Feb 23). Algeria – Energy minister replaced (Feb 23). Algeria – Tebboune dissolves Parliament as hirak bubbles back up (Feb 19). Botswana – From our Quarterly Update (Feb...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Producer price inflation accelerates in January Rand back at R15/$ Gold slides as US yields soar US durable goods are putting the pandemic in the rearview mirror
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Mozambique - Economic activity should remain subdued in Q1 2021 due to the increased Covid-19 containment measures, the continued revamping of the Moatize mine, flooding caused by Tropical Cyclone Elo...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Côte d’Ivoire – Inflation eases in line with expectations in January. Kenya – County Assemblies endorse constitutional amendment. Malawi – Inflation ticks higher in January. South Africa – Producer pr...
Weekly Africa Insight: Overview of the past week’s political and macroeconomic developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update (Feb 19). Algeria – The hirak returns (Feb 23). Algeria – Energy minister replaced (Feb 23). Algeria – Tebboune dissolves Parliament as hirak bubbles back up (Feb 19)....
Economy not expected to contract again in the medium term but it will not really rebound either
We said Zimbabwe would be one of the continent’s biggest laggards in 2020, and recent developments confirm that view. The disruptive nature of the pandemic had a profound impact on the already weak ec...
Botswana Quarterly Update: Recovery in luxury markets could salvage Botswana’s economy in 2021
Botswana’s overdependence on extractive industries has placed it in a precarious position during the Covid-19 contagion, as demand for diamonds collapsed during the height of the pandemic. Looking for...
Talking Point: Kenya – County Assemblies endorse constitutional amendment
The Constitution (Amendment) Bill is set to be tabled in Kenya's National Assembly (NA) and Senate after at least 41 County Assemblies endorsed the bill by Wednesday, February 24. This exceeded the re...
Talking Point: South Africa – Producer price inflation accelerates in January
Prices at the factory gate accelerated in January, according to Statistics South Africa’s (StatsSA) latest producer price index (PPI) report. On a monthly basis, the PPI for final manufactured goods j...
Talking Point: Côte d’Ivoire – Inflation eases in line with expectations in January
The latest consumer price index (CPI) figures released by the National Institute of Statistics (INS) show that inflationary pressures eased somewhat in January. CPI inflation slowed from 2.4% y-o-y in...
Economy enters 2021 fiscally weakened after the worst year on record
Following a disastrous 2020, the economic and political outlook for Tunisia for 2021 is strained. We forecast real GDP growth to remain anaemic at 4% in 2021, after the unprecedented 8.6% contraction...
Featured African Economic Insights
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Supreme Court in #Ghana dismisses opposition leader John Mahama's election petition, upholding President Nana Akufo-Addo's victory in the December polls. Although Mr Akufo-Addo's victory margin was small, the ruling was expected.
.#SouthAfrica’s gross reserves declined to $53.8bn in February. Reserves are expected to decline further this year as commodity prices and an increase in domestic demand add pressure to the import bill.
1.7 million doses of the AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine arrived in the #DRC this week.
.#Uganda’s fiscal deficit for January exceeded the budgeted amount by 57.1%, as tax revenues fell and foreign aid dried up in the period surrounding turbulent elections.
High-frequency data releases published in the past month suggest that #Namibia recession continued in Q4 2020.
.#Uganda recorded the worst trade deficit on record during December 2020.
.#Algeria’s CPI inflation rate surged by more than a percentage point to 3.8% in January, driven by food price increases and a weakening exchange rate.
Recovery in #African countries will depend on underlying economic fundamentals, not on achieving herd immunity. abmagazine.accaglobal.com/global/article… @NKCAfrica
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Africa Economic Insight
Get unparalleled economic and political insight into 54 African economies. Download up to three Research Briefings for free. Or, to get unlimited access to NKC African Economics' full database of briefings, commentary, daily analysis, high-quality research and data, request a free trial today.
Sample Country Report
Download a free sample report, highlighting our economic analysis, as well as incorporating our political assessment for Nigeria in 2018.
Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.