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Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Namibia - As H1 GDP figures confirmed that the economy is on track for sharp contraction, we retain our 2020 growth forecast at -7.4% and a weak recovery in 2021.
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Mauritius – Covid-19 resurgence in Europe threatens tourism rebound. South Africa – Decision to hold rates again comes down to one vote. Uganda – Deadly protests follow Bobi Wine's arrest. West Africa...
Weekly Africa Insight: Overview of the past week’s political and macroeconomic developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update (Nov 13). Angola – Inflation heads higher as kwanza keeps sinking (Nov 16). Botswana – Transport inflation still in negative territory, but gaining (Nov 16). Central Af...
Talking Point: South Africa – Decision to hold rates again comes down to one vote
The South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) decided to keep the repo rate unchanged at 3.5% following its final MPC meeting for the year. Most expectations were for rates to be kept unchanged, but, interest...
Talking Point: West Africa – Burkina Faso’s general election
Presidential and legislative elections are scheduled for Burkina Faso for Sunday, November 22. As is typical in the presidential systems of Francophone Africa, where constitutions are based on those o...
Talking Point: Uganda – Deadly protests follow Bobi Wine’s arrest
On Wednesday, November 18, three people died and at least 38 people were injured in protests that erupted after opposition presidential candidate Robert Kyagulanyi (more popularly known by his stage n...
Talking Point: Zambia – Fitch slashes credit rating to RD after Zambia default
On November 18, Fitch Ratings downgraded Zambia’s Long- and Short-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) to RD (restricted default) from CC. Fitch assigns a rating of RD when an issuer “ex...
Talking Point: Zambia – MPC maintains policy rate as default complicates policy
In consideration of above-target inflation and burgeoning recovery in private sector sentiment, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 8%. The meeting, wh...
Talking Point: Mauritius – Covid-19 resurgence in Europe threatens tourism rebound
As part of the government’s phased reopening of the island, international travel to and from certain destinations has been permitted since 1 October 2020. Consequently, the number of tourists visiting...
Talking Point: West Africa – Cocoa price premium forces buyers’ hands
The $400/tonne price premium (also referred to as a living income differential) that Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana imposed on all cocoa sales from October 1 has resulted in a stand-off between the two count...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Retail trade sales will provide a big boost to Q3 GDP US housing starts continued to defy gravity in October Temporary factors cause UK inflation to pick up in October Australian labour market recove...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Mauritius - In light of the 32.5% y-o-y plunge in Q2, we revised our 2020 growth forecast to a massive -16.4%, nearly double the previous projection of -8.5%.
Economy expected to narrowly avoid contraction as global trade slowly resumes
The Covid-19 crisis and ensuing oil price slump have wreaked havoc on countries around the world. Côte d’Ivoire is expected to be one of the African nations that will best resist the effects of the pa...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Central Africa – Cemac receives much-needed infrastructure funding. Ghana – Anti-corruption prosecutor quits, claims interference. Libya – Promise of an election but nothing else from dialogue. Namibi...
Featured African Economic Insights
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Benchmark policy rate in #Kenya remains unchanged at 7.0% as inflation remains within target and economic activity continues to recover.
.#SouthAfrica, #Egypt and #Algeria witness significant increases in active #Covid19 cases; WHO warns about adverse effect of colder temperatures in North Africa.
.#Ghana’s trade balance deteriorated only marginally over the first three quarters of the year, as a slump in oil export receipts was somewhat counterbalanced by a rise in both gold and cocoa export receipts.
A rise in goods #exports and a fall in goods #imports saw #Tanzania’s current account deficit narrowing by more than 50% y-o-y in the first 10 months of 2020.
World Bank now expects #Kenya’s economy to contract by at least 1.0% this year due to the sudden financial and economic stops caused by Covid-19 containment measures and disruptions.
A motion of no confidence in #SouthAfrica’s Cyril Ramaphosa, moved by the fringe African Transformation Movement (ATM), is doomed to fail but will give opposition parties an opportunity to grandstand during the debate on December 3.
Headline inflation raced towards a four-year high in November as #Zambia endures exchange rate pass-through and an early start to the lean season.
Higher demand for foreign construction services and travel restrictions weigh on #Mozambique current account deficit in Q3 2020.
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Africa Economic Insight
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Sample Country Report
Download a free sample report, highlighting our economic analysis, as well as incorporating our political assessment for Nigeria in 2018.
Bespoke Policy and Scenario Analysis
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.