Latest Analysis
Talking Point: Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update, March 26
As of Thursday, March 25, there were a total of 313,417 active Covid-19 cases (confirmed cases minus deaths and recoveries) in Africa. This is the first weekly increase in active cases on the continen...
Talking Point: Nigeria – Fuel subsidies revealed, called unsustainable
The federal government has revealed the extent to which it subsidises the country’s fuel price but said that it is no longer sustainable. The group managing director of the Nigerian National Petroleum...
Talking Point: Mozambique – Interest rates kept on hold amid elevated risks
The Monetary Policy Committee (CPMO) of the Bank of Mozambique (BdM) has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate – known as the monetary policy interest rate (Mimo) – at 13.25%. The CPMO says...
SA Daily Economic Report: Morning market update
Unsurprisingly, MPC decides to hold repo rate steady US economy on the cusp of blooming Initial jobless claims still noisy, but signal a healing US labour market EUR trades in a narrow band
Weekly Africa Political Risk Report: Overview of the past week’s political developments
Angola – From our Annual Country Profile (Mar 25). Central Africa – Sassou-Nguesso easily re-elected in Congo Republic (Mar 25). Central Africa – Mohamed Bazoum is Niger’s new president (Mar 23). DRC...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Rwanda - The latest auction saw the Rwandan central bank struggling to meet issuance targets, with undersubscription containing issuance and increasing yields. However, the country’s economic environm...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Central Africa – Sassou-Nguesso easily re-elected in Congo Republic. DRC – The John Numbi affair and its implications. Gabon – Inflation starts off 2021 on stable ground. Rwanda – First annual contrac...
Weekly Africa Insight: Overview of the past week’s political and macroeconomic developments
Africa – Weekly Covid-19 update, March 19 (Mar 19). Central Africa – Sassou-Nguesso easily re-elected in Congo Republic (Mar 25). Central Africa – Mohamed Bazoum is Niger’s new president (Mar 23). Côt...
Talking Point: South Africa – Unsurprisingly, MPC decides to hold repo rate steady
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) decided to hold rates steady at 3.5% upon conclusion of its second meeting for 2021. The decision to hold was in line with...
Angola Annual Country Profile: Modest economic recovery in 2021 after five-year-long downturn
We forecast Angola’s real GDP to improve from a 5.5% contraction in 2020 to a 1.7% expansion in 2021. Prompted by the rally in oil prices in Q1 2021 and better expectations for global trade, we revise...
Talking Point: South Africa – Producer costs continue to rise sharply
Producer price pressures continue to intensify, according to Statistics South Africa’s (StatsSA) latest producer price index (PPI) report. On a monthly basis, the PPI for final manufactured goods jump...
Talking Point: Central Africa – Sassou-Nguesso easily re-elected in Congo Republic
Denis Sassou-Nguesso was re-elected as president of Congo Republic in the first round of this year’s presidential election on Sunday, March 21, with 88.6% of the vote, according to official results. H...
Talking Point: Tunisia – Inflation ticks lower in February
Consumer price index (CPI) inflation in Tunisia decreased to 4.9% y-o-y in February, from 5.1% y-o-y in January. The m-o-m rate was 0.3% in February, down from 0.5% m-o-m in the previous month. The ma...
Talking Point: DRC – The John Numbi affair and its implications
John Numbi, a general in the police, is missing and presumed to have fled the DRC. He was summoned to appear before a court martial in Kinshasa on March 17 to answer accusations that he ordered the to...
Featured African Economic Insights
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Africa Economic Updates | Sign up to our blog to gain unparalleled #economic and #political insights into 54 African economies. Click here to gain insights: bit.ly/2OEza3Y #AfricanEconomics #Updates
.#SouthAfrica’s level of foreign reserves declined further to $53.8bn in March.
Talks between #Ethiopia, #Egypt and #Sudan over the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (#Gerd) in #Kinshasa, #DRC, comes up empty and produces angry words as Addis Ababa is set to resume the filling of the reservoir with summer rains.
There are 114,937 active cases of #Covid19 in #Africa. #Ethiopia, #Tunisia and #Cameroon recorded the most new cases this week. Additionally, the vaccination drive on the continent has been slow. Only #Morocco and #Seychelles have fully inoculated 1% of their population.
Headline inflation in #Tanzania eased by 0.1 ppt to 3.2% y-o-y in March. All in all, #CPI #inflation averaged 3.3% y-o-y in Q1 2021, slightly higher than the average of 3.1% y-o-y observed in Q4 2020.
Increased #lockdown restrictions in #Tunisia after spike in daily Covid-19 cases.
The economic recovery in #Lesotho tumbles in Q4 2020 as pandemic-related disruptions remain in play.
A series of court cases and arrests in #Morocco is highlighting the pressures that dissidents and independent journalists face. The trend on civil liberties is negative.
In the Media
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Get unparalleled economic and political insight into 54 African economies. Download up to three Research Briefings for free. Or, to get unlimited access to NKC African Economics' full database of briefings, commentary, daily analysis, high-quality research and data, request a free trial today.
Download a free sample report, highlighting our economic analysis, as well as incorporating our political assessment for Nigeria in 2018.
A detailed scenario analysis of different policy actions the Central Bank of Nigeria could take in response to the foreign exchange liquidity squeeze in 2016, the effects on foreign reserves to be expected under each, and the resulting consequences for firms needing to repatriate profits.