Latest Analysis
Talking Point: West Africa – Operation Barkhane and its discontents
France’s counterterrorism forces in the Sahel have scored a victory in Burkina Faso, at a fluid moment as far as France’s relations with West African countries are concerned. On Thursday, February 10,...
Talking Point: Ghana – Anti-government activist charged with treason
On Monday, February 14, social media activist Oliver Mawuse Barker-Vormawor was charged with treason for a post he made on Facebook, saying that he will stage a coup d’état if the government imposes t...
Talking Point: Uganda – MPC keeps rates unchanged
In its first meeting of the year, the Bank of Uganda’s (BoU) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to maintain the policy rate at 6.5%. The MPC has kept the policy rate stable at 6.5% since cutting...
Talking Point: Senegal – Casamance rebels free captive soldiers
On Monday, February 14, rebels belonging to the Movement of Democratic Forces of Casamance (MFDC) freed seven Senegalese soldiers they had held captive since a skirmish on January 24. They handed them...
Morocco Quarterly Update: Economy well on its way to surpassing pre-pandemic output level
A bumper cereal harvest helped the economy successfully emerge from the crisis, with output recovering to pre-pandemic levels in 2021. Despite growing by 5.3% last year, the non-agricultural sector ca...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Kenya - Another undersubscribed auction saw the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) supplement lacklustre demand for the shorter-dated tenors with healthy demand for the longest-dated instrument. Despite dece...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Algeria – Production and revenues recover. Egypt – Rising food prices push inflation higher.
Talking Point: Algeria – Production and revenues recover
The latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), published by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), indicates that Algeria’s crude oil production rose by 11,000 barrels per day (bp...
Talking Point: Egypt – Rising food prices push inflation higher
Consumer price inflation continued to creep upwards in January as favourable base effects wore off, according to the Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics (Capmas). Headline inflation...
South Africa Weekly Economic Report: Sona sets course for economic recovery
President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Sona this past week was the headline event. Expectations were very low and the national mood even lower, but the first post-democratic Sona to not be delivered in the Natio...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Uganda - A structural fiscal deficit amid high infrastructural needs should keep pressure on long-dated yields. Underperforming revenues also elevates the risk of revisions to the domestic funding tar...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Africa – Covid-19 update | Fourth wave comes to a close. Libya – Rival governments, again. Mozambique – Inflation turns sharply higher in January. Nigeria – IMF Article IV Consultation completed. Sout...
Talking Point: Africa – Covid-19 update | Fourth wave comes to a close
Africa is emerging from its fourth wave of Covid-19 infections, and there has been notable efforts to ramp up vaccination rates and build resilience. The World Health Organisation (WHO) noted that 96...
Talking Point: South Africa – Sona 2022 | Energy focus needs more
President Cyril Ramaphosa placed a large emphasis on electricity and energy in his sixth State of the Nation Address (Sona), building on much that has been said previously. Regarding electricity, the...
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.#Angola crude #oil production dipped for the second-consecutive month in March. Nevertheless, oil output did improve slightly in Q1 2022 as a whole compared with Q1 2021.
President Ouattara of #Cotedivore has named a vice-president: Tiemoko Meyliet Koné, an economist who has spent most of his career at the West African central bank, the BCEAO. The nomination is positive from the point of view of governance.
.#SouthAfrica headline inflation rate came in at 5.9% y-o-y in March, 0.2 ppt higher than the previous month. The March inflation print was slightly lower than the consensus forecast of 6.0% y-o-y.
In its WEO for April the #IMF makes downward revisions to the global growth outlook in response to the war in Ukraine. #Africa is an exception: the Fund’s view of growth in sub-Saharan Africa is unchanged since October. But the outlook for the price environment is bleak.
Inflation in #Sudan rose to 263.2% y-o-y in March. The October coup d'état has sent the already fragile economy into free fall. Living standards are rapidly deteriorating as prices continue to soar, and 18 million people are at risk of facing food insecurity in coming months.
.#Angola #inflation rate dips slightly in March, marking the second-straight disinflation reading this year. The stronger kwanza should give consumers some reprieve this year.
The number of #tourists visiting #Mauritius rose to 66,066 in March as Covid-19 restrictions were relaxed and pandemic-related fears became more of a faint memory.
The #inflation outlook in #Nigeria deteriorated over the past month as the headline print rose to 15.9% y-o-y due to food and fuel prices pressures. Inflation should continue trending upwards throughout Q2 and Q3, averaging above 16.0% this year.
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