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Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Egypt – Key policy rates on hold again. Kenya – Private sector activity takes a sudden dive. Mauritius – Assessing the damage of tropical cyclone Batsirai. Rwanda – Industrial activity remained robust...
Talking Point: Mauritius – Assessing the damage of tropical cyclone Batsirai
This past week, authorities were forced to close its main airport, beaches, and several public spaces as the island nation had to brace itself for the adverse effects of a severe tropical cyclone.
Talking Point: Rwanda – Industrial activity remained robust in December
The latest data published by the National Institute of Statistics Rwanda (NISR) shows that the index of industrial production came in at 157.7 points in December, up 2.7% m-o-m compared with November....
Talking Point: Uganda – School reopening boosts private sector business activity
The latest publication by IHS Markit/Stanbic Bank of the purchasing managers' index (PMI) indicates that in the first month of the year, the index recorded its sixth-consecutive positive reading. In t...
Talking Point: Tunisia – BCT keeps rate unchanged
Earlier this week, the Central Bank of Tunisia (BCT) warned that the government would likely not meet its fiscal targets for the 2022 financial year without the assistance of a loan from the IMF. This...
Talking Point: Egypt – Key policy rates on hold again
The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) held key policy rates unchanged for the ninth consecutive time at its latest Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on Thursday, February 3. Specifically, the overnigh...
South Africa Monthly Political Overview: Shots fired as Ramaphosa looks to consolidate
President Cyril Ramaphosa is already facing challenges to his authority – and hopes of re-election – as rivals and rival factions within the ruling African National Congress (ANC) look to make things...
Talking Point: Zambia – Inflation moderates but further rate adjustments expected
Headline inflation decelerated for a sixth-consecutive month in January, easing to 15.1% y-o-y from a previous month figure of 16.4% y-o-y and well below the cycle peak of 24.6% y-o-y recorded over th...
Talking Point: Zimbabwe – Inflation little changed in January
Consumer price index (CPI) inflation was little changed in January, registering at 60.6% y-o-y compared with 60.7% y-o-y in December. On a m-o-m basis, inflation moderated from 5.8% to 5.3% most recen...
Talking Point: West Africa – Ecowas demands timelines
Ecowas held an extraordinary summit on Thursday, February 3, “to examine the recent political developments in Burkina Faso, Guinea and Mali with a view to ensuring the restoration of constitutional or...
Talking Point: Uganda – Economic activity index ends 2021 on positive note
The Bank of Uganda’s (BoU) monthly composite index of economic activity (CIEA) came in at 146.73 points in December, up 0.4% m-o-m compared with November and 4.1% y-o-y higher than December 2020.
Talking Point: Kenya – Private sector activity takes a sudden dive
The IHS Markit/Stanbic Bank Kenya purchasing managers’ index (PMI) plunged to its lowest level in nine months as it sank below 50, which signals a deterioration in business conditions. The PMI fell fr...
Weekly Africa Political Risk Report: Overview of the past week’s political developments
Egypt – Rights violations and arms deals (Feb 1). Ethiopia – From our Annual Country Profile (Jan 31). Great Lakes – Rwanda reopens Uganda border point after three years (Feb 1). Kenya – Roadside bomb...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Nigeria - We expect inflation to average 13.5% this year, more palatable than the 17.0% average of 2021, before easing further to 12.5% in 2023 and 11.9% in 2024. With pressure on global energy prices...
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.#Angola crude #oil production dipped for the second-consecutive month in March. Nevertheless, oil output did improve slightly in Q1 2022 as a whole compared with Q1 2021.
President Ouattara of #Cotedivore has named a vice-president: Tiemoko Meyliet Koné, an economist who has spent most of his career at the West African central bank, the BCEAO. The nomination is positive from the point of view of governance.
.#SouthAfrica headline inflation rate came in at 5.9% y-o-y in March, 0.2 ppt higher than the previous month. The March inflation print was slightly lower than the consensus forecast of 6.0% y-o-y.
In its WEO for April the #IMF makes downward revisions to the global growth outlook in response to the war in Ukraine. #Africa is an exception: the Fund’s view of growth in sub-Saharan Africa is unchanged since October. But the outlook for the price environment is bleak.
Inflation in #Sudan rose to 263.2% y-o-y in March. The October coup d'état has sent the already fragile economy into free fall. Living standards are rapidly deteriorating as prices continue to soar, and 18 million people are at risk of facing food insecurity in coming months.
.#Angola #inflation rate dips slightly in March, marking the second-straight disinflation reading this year. The stronger kwanza should give consumers some reprieve this year.
The number of #tourists visiting #Mauritius rose to 66,066 in March as Covid-19 restrictions were relaxed and pandemic-related fears became more of a faint memory.
The #inflation outlook in #Nigeria deteriorated over the past month as the headline print rose to 15.9% y-o-y due to food and fuel prices pressures. Inflation should continue trending upwards throughout Q2 and Q3, averaging above 16.0% this year.
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