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Talking Point: Zimbabwe – EU renews sanctions despite charm offensive
The EU announced on Monday, February 21, that it was renewing its two-decade-old sanctions on Zimbabwe. This despite President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s charm offensive at the sixth EU-AU Summit in Brussel...
Talking Point: Côte d’Ivoire – Sticky inflationary pressures spill over into 2022
According to the latest consumer price index (CPI) print from the National Institute of Statistics, inflation in Côte d’Ivoire came in at 5.6% y-o-y in January – the same as the two preceding months....
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Uganda - We estimate real GDP growth was 6.0% in 2021; growth should slow down to 3.8% this year as base effects fall away. The economy remains at risk to new developments in the pandemic, considering...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Nigeria – Delayed approval of electoral bill leads to protests. South Africa – Party funding in the spotlight. Tunisia – UGTT re-elects Taboubi as SG.
Talking Point: South Africa – Party funding in the spotlight
On Tuesday, February 22, the Electoral Commission (IEC) released its latest political party funding disclosure report, showing that R46m ($3m) flowed to eleven separate parties between October and Dec...
Talking Point: Nigeria – Delayed approval of electoral bill leads to protests
On Tuesday, February 22, several civil society groups took to the streets of the capital Abuja, moving from Unity Fountain to the National Assembly Complex. The demonstrations come in response to the...
Talking Point: Tunisia – UGTT re-elects Taboubi as SG
The General Union of Tunisian Workers (UGTT) held its quinquennial elective conference in Sfax from Wednesday to Friday, 16-18 February 2022. Noureddine Taboubi was again elected as secretary general,...
Government eases restrictions but the economy remains under pressure
The Uganda Bureau of Statistics reported that economic growth in Q3 2021 slowed down to 3.8% y-o-y after an expansion of 12.9% y-o-y in Q2 2021, the latter having been supported by base effects. Leadi...
Fixed Income Daily: Bond market and currency metrics for African capital markets
Angola - While the growth forecast for 2022 has been adjusted lower from an earlier projection of 3.2%, at 2.8% the expected expansion this year will still be the best growth rate Angola would have ac...
Daily Africa Insight: An overview of today’s key events and developments
Angola – Inflation accelerates at the start of 2022. Eswatini – Budget 2022/23: Flipping coins for fiscal sustainability. Kenya – Debt ceiling: is government heading towards a fiscal cliff? Nigeria –...
GDP growth estimated to rebound to 3.8% in 2022, but downside risks stem from Cyclone Ana making landfall
Economic growth accelerated to 5.4% in 2019 but tumbled to a revised 0.9% in 2020 due to the devastation caused by Covid-19. A lacklustre vaccination programme, which kicked off in March 2021, is hamp...
Talking Point: Kenya – Debt ceiling: is government heading towards a fiscal cliff?
The government hopes to lift its current debt ceiling from KSh9.0trn, which was last revised in 2019, to KSh12.0trn in order to avoid a large, front-loaded consolidation. This comes as the Parliamenta...
Talking Point: Nigeria – Annual economic growth reaches seven-year high
Economic growth surprised to the upside last year, with total economic output at constant market prices rising by 4.6% y-o-y in Q4 2021, up from 4.1% y-o-y in Q3. In real terms, the size of the econom...
Talking Point: Eswatini – Budget 2022/23: Flipping coins for fiscal sustainability
The minister of finance, Mr Neal Rijkenberg, presented his fourth budget speech on February 18 against a backdrop of improved economic growth, fiscal consolidation imperatives, and a desire to improve...
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.#Angola crude #oil production dipped for the second-consecutive month in March. Nevertheless, oil output did improve slightly in Q1 2022 as a whole compared with Q1 2021.
President Ouattara of #Cotedivore has named a vice-president: Tiemoko Meyliet Koné, an economist who has spent most of his career at the West African central bank, the BCEAO. The nomination is positive from the point of view of governance.
.#SouthAfrica headline inflation rate came in at 5.9% y-o-y in March, 0.2 ppt higher than the previous month. The March inflation print was slightly lower than the consensus forecast of 6.0% y-o-y.
In its WEO for April the #IMF makes downward revisions to the global growth outlook in response to the war in Ukraine. #Africa is an exception: the Fund’s view of growth in sub-Saharan Africa is unchanged since October. But the outlook for the price environment is bleak.
Inflation in #Sudan rose to 263.2% y-o-y in March. The October coup d'état has sent the already fragile economy into free fall. Living standards are rapidly deteriorating as prices continue to soar, and 18 million people are at risk of facing food insecurity in coming months.
.#Angola #inflation rate dips slightly in March, marking the second-straight disinflation reading this year. The stronger kwanza should give consumers some reprieve this year.
The number of #tourists visiting #Mauritius rose to 66,066 in March as Covid-19 restrictions were relaxed and pandemic-related fears became more of a faint memory.
The #inflation outlook in #Nigeria deteriorated over the past month as the headline print rose to 15.9% y-o-y due to food and fuel prices pressures. Inflation should continue trending upwards throughout Q2 and Q3, averaging above 16.0% this year.
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